Analyst Upgrades Explained: What Happens to a Stock After One?
What an analyst upgrade is, how stocks have behaved after upgrades in published research, which upgrades actually move prices, and what to check before reading anything into one.
Wall Street rating changes on US stocks in September 2026, counted: upgrades vs downgrades, price‑target raises vs cuts, week by week, by sector, by stock and by firm, compared with August.
Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →
Analysts downgraded more stocks than they upgraded in September 2026: 231 downgrades against 197 upgrades on US‑listed stocks, according to Exent’s analyst dataset. That is 1.17 downgrades for every upgrade. The same month brought 764 initiations (an analyst rating a stock for the first time), 1,612 price‑target raises and 1,309 target cuts. In all, analysts issued 10,819 rating actions, most of them reiterations of an existing rating.
The picture is mixed rather than gloomy. Rating changes leaned negative, but target changes leaned positive, and most ratings stayed at Buy. What an upgrade or a downgrade means on its own is covered in analyst upgrades explained and what happens after a downgrade.
| August 2026 | September 2026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rating actions (all kinds) | 16,936 | 10,819 | −36.1% |
| Upgrades | 240 | 197 | −17.9% |
| Downgrades | 370 | 231 | −37.6% |
| Downgrades per upgrade | 1.54 | 1.17 | |
| Share rated Buy | 68.2% | 67.7% | |
| Share rated Hold | 28.4% | 28.6% | |
| Share rated Sell | 3.5% | 3.7% | |
| Initiations | not compared | 764 | |
| Target raises / cuts | not compared | 1,612 / 1,309 |
August was busier because it is the heart of earnings season, when analysts update almost every stock they cover. Initiations and target changes are not compared with August, because those counts were recorded at much lower daily rates in early August and we have not confirmed the two months were captured the same way.
It cooled through the month. Target raises outnumbered cuts two to one in the first week, then cuts took over: from Sep 16 to 30 there were 737 target cuts and 647 raises. The single busiest day for cuts was Sep 21, with 105. Upgrades peaked at 16 on Sep 8, and downgrades hit 20 on both Sep 8 and Sep 29.
| Week | Rating actions | Upgrades | Downgrades | Initiations | Target raises | Target cuts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1–6 | 1,840 | 31 | 41 | 102 | 454 | 223 |
| Sep 7–13 | 2,006 | 44 | 55 | 208 | 351 | 242 |
| Sep 14–20 | 2,268 | 46 | 54 | 155 | 314 | 246 |
| Sep 21–27 | 2,437 | 46 | 40 | 153 | 314 | 347 |
| Sep 28–30 | 2,268 | 30 | 41 | 146 | 179 | 251 |
Weeks run Monday to Sunday; the first starts on Tuesday, Sep 1 and the last covers three days. Weekend dates carry a handful of actions, which are counted in their week.
Technology had the most downgrades (43) and Healthcare the next most (39), yet they also had the most target raises: Technology alone had 409 raises against 121 cuts. Energy was the most one‑sided, with 13 upgrades against 2 downgrades and 112 target raises against 22 cuts. Real Estate, Basic Materials and Industrials leaned the other way, with target cuts well ahead of raises.
| Sector | Upgrades | Downgrades | Initiations | Target raises | Target cuts | Raises as % of target changes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | 15 | 43 | 125 | 409 | 121 | 77.2% |
| Healthcare | 30 | 39 | 159 | 298 | 137 | 68.5% |
| Consumer Cyclical | 21 | 26 | 72 | 135 | 217 | 38.4% |
| Financial Services | 28 | 36 | 86 | 133 | 116 | 53.4% |
| Industrials | 26 | 16 | 51 | 80 | 146 | 35.4% |
| Real Estate | 13 | 14 | 2 | 53 | 132 | 28.6% |
| Energy | 13 | 2 | 46 | 112 | 22 | 83.6% |
| Basic Materials | 6 | 12 | 43 | 29 | 66 | 30.5% |
The eight most active of 11 sectors, ordered by activity. Sector counts use the public, named calls only (see the method below), so they add up to less than the month totals. Smaller companies were downgraded more often: among named rating changes, downgrades were 63.6% for companies under $2 billion in market value, 57.4% for $2–10 billion and 49.0% for $10–200 billion. The 11 changes on $200 billion‑plus companies were mostly upgrades (8 of 11).
Synopsys was the most‑upgraded stock among named calls, by four analysts from four firms between Sep 8 and Sep 25. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical was the most downgraded, by six analysts from six firms on Sep 3–5. Eight more stocks were upgraded by analysts at two different firms. The table counts a stock only when the calls came from at least two firms.
| Most upgraded | Sector | Analysts upgrading | Firms | Dates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Synopsys (SNPS) | Technology | 4 | 4 | Sep 8–25 |
| Airbnb (ABNB) | Consumer Cyclical | 2 | 2 | Sep 8–16 |
| Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) | Healthcare | 2 | 2 | Sep 1–14 |
| Etsy (ETSY) | Consumer Cyclical | 2 | 2 | Sep 14–18 |
| Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) | Basic Materials | 2 | 2 | Sep 1–18 |
| Macerich (MAC) | Real Estate | 2 | 2 | Sep 21–24 |
| Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) | Energy | 2 | 2 | Sep 8–23 |
| Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) | Basic Materials | 2 | 2 | Sep 2–9 |
| Royal Caribbean (RCL) | Consumer Cyclical | 2 | 2 | Sep 28 |
| Most downgraded | Sector | Analysts downgrading | Firms | Dates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) | Healthcare | 6 | 6 | Sep 3–5 |
| Cooper Companies (COO) | Healthcare | 4 | 4 | Sep 10–12 |
| Amrize (AMRZ) | Basic Materials | 3 | 3 | Sep 2–9 |
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) | Utilities | 3 | 3 | Sep 3–17 |
| Lifecore Biomedical (LFCR) | Healthcare | 3 | 3 | Sep 28–29 |
| TScan Therapeutics (TCRX) | Healthcare | 3 | 3 | Sep 2–9 |
Clusters like these usually follow one piece of company news, such as a trial result, an earnings report or a deal. The dataset records the call, not the reason, so read the company’s own release before reading anything into a cluster. Upgrades were spread thin: 145 different stocks got at least one named upgrade and 153 at least one named downgrade, and five stocks got both in the same month.
Snowflake had the most target raises, from 29 analysts on Sep 3–4. Software and security stocks fill most of the raise list. lululemon had the most target cuts, from 16 analysts, and consumer names such as AutoZone, McDonald’s, Nike and Carnival dominate the cut list.
| Most target raises | Analysts raising | Analysts cutting | Dates of raises |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snowflake (SNOW) | 29 | 0 | Sep 3–4 |
| Okta (OKTA) | 20 | 0 | Sep 14–29 |
| GitLab (GTLB) | 16 | 0 | Sep 1–9 |
| Palo Alto Networks (PANW) | 16 | 0 | Sep 2–28 |
| Five Below (FIVE) | 13 | 2 | Sep 2–4 |
| Samsara (IOT) | 13 | 0 | Sep 3–4 |
| Zscaler (ZS) | 13 | 1 | Sep 3–29 |
| Adobe (ADBE) | 12 | 4 | Sep 1–14 |
| Dell Technologies (DELL) | 11 | 0 | Sep 1–3 |
| MongoDB (MDB) | 11 | 6 | Sep 1–3 |
| Most target cuts | Analysts cutting | Analysts raising | Dates of cuts |
|---|---|---|---|
| lululemon (LULU) | 16 | 0 | Sep 2–10 |
| AutoZone (AZO) | 12 | 0 | Sep 10–23 |
| Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) | 11 | 1 | Sep 8–24 |
| Carnival (CCL) | 10 | 4 | Sep 14–30 |
| McDonald’s (MCD) | 10 | 0 | Sep 11–28 |
| Nike (NKE) | 10 | 0 | Sep 14–29 |
| ServiceTitan (TTAN) | 9 | 0 | Sep 9–10 |
| Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) | 8 | 5 | Sep 3–4 |
| Stryker (SYK) | 8 | 0 | Sep 9–30 |
| Chewy (CHWY) | 7 | 1 | Sep 4–29 |
Raises were bigger than cuts. Among named target changes with a previous target on record, the median raise was 12.4% and the median cut 9.1%; 21.5% of raises were 25% or more, against 11.2% of cuts. How often targets are reached at all is in are analyst price targets accurate.
Wells Fargo made the most named calls in September, and it cut more targets than it raised. J.P. Morgan made the most rating changes: 20 upgrades and 30 downgrades.
| Firm | Named calls | Upgrades | Downgrades | Initiations | Target raises | Target cuts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | 218 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 78 | 102 |
| UBS | 198 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 84 | 76 |
| J.P. Morgan | 188 | 20 | 30 | 15 | 63 | 60 |
| Morgan Stanley | 178 | 13 | 14 | 22 | 82 | 47 |
| Goldman Sachs | 166 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 81 | 63 |
| Bank of America Securities | 144 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 70 | 41 |
| Barclays | 120 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 54 | 47 |
| Citi | 106 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 54 |
| Jefferies | 98 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 34 |
| Evercore ISI | 98 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 64 |
Most rating changes were one step. Of named upgrades, 65.3% went from Hold to Buy and 12.6% from Sell to Hold. Of named downgrades, 53.7% went from Buy to Hold and 15.3% from Hold to Sell. Firms use different words (Overweight, Outperform, Neutral), which are mapped to Buy, Hold and Sell here. Why Sell ratings stay so rare is in why analysts rarely say sell.
The stock, sector and firm tables leave them out. Analysts differ a lot in how often their past calls worked, and the calls of the analysts with the best records are counted in the month totals above but not named on this page. Which stocks they upgraded and downgraded in September, and what they changed in October, is in Exent Gems. Track records of named analysts are on the analyst rankings, and whether upgrades moved stocks in the past is in do analyst upgrades move stocks.
Exent Gems shows where several of the most accurate analysts agree. The current list is for members.
More downgrades. Analysts made 231 downgrades and 197 upgrades on US-listed stocks in September 2026, or 1.17 downgrades per upgrade, down from 1.54 in August.
Among named calls, Synopsys, upgraded by four analysts from four firms between September 8 and 25. Eight other stocks, including Airbnb, Etsy and Royal Caribbean, were upgraded by analysts at two different firms.
Among named calls, lululemon had the most, with 16 analysts cutting their targets, followed by AutoZone with 12, Ionis Pharmaceuticals with 11, and Carnival, McDonald’s and Nike with 10 each.
They raised more over the whole month, 1,612 raises against 1,309 cuts. The second half was different: from September 16 to 30 there were 737 cuts and 647 raises.
In September 2026, 67.7% of ratings were Buy, 28.6% Hold and 3.7% Sell, close to August’s 68.2%, 28.4% and 3.5%.
The public dataset behind this page is released with a 30-day delay, so September is complete only once data through October 1 is out. Newer calls are not shown here.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.