AnalystsInsight

Terence Flynn (Morgan Stanley): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Terence Flynn’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,823 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 20, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

#838 rank (was #919)+3 new ratings (MRK, BNTX, VRTX)4.7★ rating (was 4.6★)

Key takeaways

Terence Flynn ranks #773 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.7★).
44.6% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 107 days; 53.4% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: BNTX, GILD, MRNA, BIIB.
Free on Exent: Terence Flynn’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Terence Flynn’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Terence Flynn covers most
Terence Flynn’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Terence Flynn’s track record at a glance

Terence Flynn of Morgan Stanley ranks #773 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.7★ rating and a focus on healthcare. Over a 7‑year lookback, 44.6% of Terence’s price targets were reached, 7.8 points below the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Terence Flynn	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	44.6%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	107 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	53.4%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+4.0%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	42.6%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−19.8%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,823	—
Stocks covered	32	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Terence Flynn
Under 30 days	23.2%
30–90 days	22.0%
90–180 days	22.3%
Over 180 days	32.6%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Terence Flynn covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
BNTX	43
GILD	26
MRNA	26
BIIB	24
MRK	23
PFE	22
REGN	22
VRTX	21

In the past year Terence’s ratings were 53% Buy, 42% Hold and 4% Sell.

Terence Flynn’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 20, 2026	MRK	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$179.00
Sep 14, 2026	BNTX	Rated: Buy	Buy	$115.00
Sep 14, 2026	VRTX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$665.00
Sep 8, 2026	BNTX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$115.00
Sep 2, 2026	ALMS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$29.00
Sep 1, 2026	VRTX	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$665.00
Aug 31, 2026	BNTX	Rated: Buy	Buy	$115.00
Aug 24, 2026	BNTX	Rated: Buy	Buy	$115.00
Aug 20, 2026	GILD	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$165.00
Aug 19, 2026	MRNA	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$89.00
Aug 19, 2026	MRK	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$179.00
Aug 19, 2026	AMGN	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$362.00

Sep 20, 2026
Stock
MRK
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$179.00
Sep 14, 2026
Stock
BNTX
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$115.00
Sep 14, 2026
Stock
VRTX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$665.00
Sep 8, 2026
Stock
BNTX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$115.00
Sep 2, 2026
Stock
ALMS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$29.00
Sep 1, 2026
Stock
VRTX
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$665.00
Aug 31, 2026
Stock
BNTX
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$115.00
Aug 24, 2026
Stock
BNTX
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$115.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
GILD
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$165.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
MRNA
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$89.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
MRK
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$179.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
AMGN
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$362.00

Terence’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Terence Flynn’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Terence Flynn ranks #773 of 1,000 with a 4.7★ rating. 44.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 53.4% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Terence Flynn’s success rate is 58.4% by the ranking source and 44.6% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 107 days to reach a target.

Terence Flynn (Morgan Stanley) covers 32 stocks, mostly in healthcare. The most frequently rated are BNTX, GILD, MRNA, BIIB, MRK.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained