AnalystsInsight

Nicholas Rawlinson (Morgans): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Nicholas Rawlinson’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 0 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 15, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+1 new rating (ASX-VYS)

Key takeaways

Nicholas Rawlinson ranks #610 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.8★).
— of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: — days; — of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: ASX-MND, ASX-IMD, ASX-NWH, ASX-ALQ.
Free on Exent: Nicholas Rawlinson’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Nicholas Rawlinson’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Nicholas Rawlinson covers most
Nicholas Rawlinson’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Nicholas Rawlinson’s track record at a glance

Nicholas Rawlinson of Morgans ranks #610 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.8★ rating and a focus on industrials. Over a 7‑year lookback, — of Nicholas’s price targets were reached, the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Nicholas Rawlinson	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	—	52.4%
Median days to hit target	—	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	—	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	—	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	—	—
Average worst drop after a call	—	—
Ratings in the sample	0	—
Stocks covered	17	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Nicholas Rawlinson
Under 30 days	—
30–90 days	—
90–180 days	—
Over 180 days	—

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Nicholas Rawlinson covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
ASX-MND	40
ASX-IMD	38
ASX-NWH	32
ASX-ALQ	31
ASX-IMB	26
ASX-TEA	25
ASX-CVL	20
ASX-AIH	17

In the past year Nicholas’s ratings were 85% Buy, 15% Hold and 0% Sell.

Nicholas Rawlinson’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 15, 2026	ASX-VYS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1.20
Aug 31, 2026	ASX-IMB	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1.10
Aug 31, 2026	ASX-CVL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$2.40
Aug 28, 2026	ASX-TEA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$10.65
Aug 27, 2026	ASX-VYS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1.40
Aug 27, 2026	ASX-WOR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$9.80
Aug 26, 2026	ASX-MND	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$35.80
Aug 25, 2026	ASX-VNT	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$5.95
Aug 21, 2026	ASX-MLG	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1.20
Aug 21, 2026	ASX-NWH	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$8.80
Aug 19, 2026	ASX-SRG	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$4.70
Aug 14, 2026	ASX-VYS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1.40

Sep 15, 2026
Stock
ASX-VYS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1.20
Aug 31, 2026
Stock
ASX-IMB
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1.10
Aug 31, 2026
Stock
ASX-CVL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$2.40
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
ASX-TEA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$10.65
Aug 27, 2026
Stock
ASX-VYS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1.40
Aug 27, 2026
Stock
ASX-WOR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$9.80
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
ASX-MND
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$35.80
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
ASX-VNT
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$5.95
Aug 21, 2026
Stock
ASX-MLG
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1.20
Aug 21, 2026
Stock
ASX-NWH
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$8.80
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
ASX-SRG
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$4.70
Aug 14, 2026
Stock
ASX-VYS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1.40

Nicholas’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Nicholas Rawlinson’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Nicholas Rawlinson ranks #610 of 1,000 with a 4.8★ rating. — of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and — of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Nicholas Rawlinson’s success rate is 68.0% by the ranking source and — by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of — days to reach a target.

Nicholas Rawlinson (Morgans) covers 17 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are ASX-MND, ASX-IMD, ASX-NWH, ASX-ALQ, ASX-IMB.

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What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained