AnalystsInsight

John Campbell (Stephens): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often John Campbell’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 176 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 19, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

#654 rank (was #697)4.8★ rating (was 4.7★)

Key takeaways

John Campbell ranks #623 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.8★).
36.5% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 119 days; 54.7% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: TREE, FNF, QNST, STC.
Free on Exent: John Campbell’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

John Campbell’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks John Campbell covers most
John Campbell’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

John Campbell’s track record at a glance

John Campbell of Stephens ranks #623 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.8★ rating and a focus on financials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 36.5% of John’s price targets were reached, 15.9 points below the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	John Campbell	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	36.5%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	119 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	54.7%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+3.5%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	38.9%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−28.2%	—
Ratings in the sample	176	—
Stocks covered	16	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	John Campbell
Under 30 days	12.9%
30–90 days	29.0%
90–180 days	16.1%
Over 180 days	41.9%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks John Campbell covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
TREE	47
FNF	44
QNST	41
STC	40
CNNE	40
RMAX	38
FAF	29
PRCH	21

In the past year John’s ratings were 100% Buy, 0% Hold and 0% Sell.

John Campbell’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
May 12, 2026	FNF	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$58.00
May 12, 2026	FNF	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$58.00
May 12, 2026	FNF	Maintained	Buy	$58.00
Feb 27, 2026	STC	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$82.00
Feb 27, 2026	STC	Upgraded	Buy	$82.00
May 13, 2025	CNNE	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$27.00
May 13, 2025	CNNE	Maintained	Buy	$27.00
May 13, 2025	CNNE	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$27.00
May 2, 2025	RMAX	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$9.00
May 2, 2025	RMAX	Maintained	Hold	$9.00
Apr 7, 2025	TREE	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$65.00
Apr 7, 2025	TREE	Reiterated	Buy	$65.00

May 12, 2026
Stock
FNF
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$58.00
May 12, 2026
Stock
FNF
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$58.00
May 12, 2026
Stock
FNF
Action
Maintained
Rating
Buy
Price target
$58.00
Feb 27, 2026
Stock
STC
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$82.00
Feb 27, 2026
Stock
STC
Action
Upgraded
Rating
Buy
Price target
$82.00
May 13, 2025
Stock
CNNE
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$27.00
May 13, 2025
Stock
CNNE
Action
Maintained
Rating
Buy
Price target
$27.00
May 13, 2025
Stock
CNNE
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$27.00
May 2, 2025
Stock
RMAX
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$9.00
May 2, 2025
Stock
RMAX
Action
Maintained
Rating
Hold
Price target
$9.00
Apr 7, 2025
Stock
TREE
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$65.00
Apr 7, 2025
Stock
TREE
Action
Reiterated
Rating
Buy
Price target
$65.00

John’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows John Campbell’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring John Campbell ranks #623 of 1,000 with a 4.8★ rating. 36.5% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 54.7% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

John Campbell’s success rate is 58.0% by the ranking source and 36.5% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 119 days to reach a target.

John Campbell (Stephens) covers 16 stocks, mostly in financials. The most frequently rated are TREE, FNF, QNST, STC, CNNE.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained