AnalystsInsight

Adrian Prendergast (Morgans): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

Adrian Prendergast is one of the top‑ranked analysts in Exent’s 7‑year backtest. What Adrian covers, how Adrian’s ratings lean, how fast price targets were reached and the ratings from before the last 30 days; the full record and the newest calls are members‑only.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 15, 20262 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Adrian Prendergast ranks among the top 50 energy analysts in Exent’s ranking, scored on a 7‑year backtest.
The exact rank, price‑target hit rate and live calls are members‑only in Exent Gems.
Most‑covered stocks: ASX-RIO, ASX-BHP, ASX-AEL, ASX-WDS.
In the past year Adrian’s ratings were 47% Buy, 43% Hold and 10% Sell.

In this article

Adrian Prendergast’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Adrian Prendergast covers most
Adrian Prendergast’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Adrian Prendergast’s track record at a glance

Adrian Prendergast of Morgans ranks among the top 50 energy analysts in Exent’s ranking, with a focus on energy. The top of the ranking is what Exent Gems follows, so Adrian’s exact rank, hit rate and live calls are for members.

Metric	Adrian Prendergast	All analysts
Exent rank		—
Price‑target hit rate		52.4%
Calls up after 12 months		64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls		+13.4%
Median days to hit target		91 days
Stocks covered	19	—

Unlock the full record in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Adrian Prendergast
Under 30 days	—
30–90 days	—
90–180 days	—
Over 180 days	—

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Adrian Prendergast covers most

ASX-RIO · ASX-BHP · ASX-AEL · ASX-WDS · ASX-STO · ASX-S32 · ASX-KAR · ASX-BPT

In the past year Adrian’s ratings were 47% Buy, 43% Hold and 10% Sell.

Adrian Prendergast’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 10, 2026	ASX-WDS	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$32.20
Aug 28, 2026	ASX-S32	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	$4.90
Aug 28, 2026	ASX-KAR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$1.73
Aug 26, 2026	ASX-WDS	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$32.20
Aug 25, 2026	ASX-DRR	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$4.85
Aug 21, 2026	ASX-FMG	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$18.70
Aug 19, 2026	ASX-AEL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$2.90
Aug 19, 2026	ASX-BHP	Downgraded: Sell	Sell	$55.30
Aug 9, 2026	ASX-BPT	Reiterated: Sell	Sell	$0.82
Aug 3, 2026	ASX-BTL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.77
Jul 30, 2026	ASX-RIO	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$159.00
Jul 29, 2026	ASX-KAR	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	$1.75

Sep 10, 2026
Stock
ASX-WDS
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$32.20
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
ASX-S32
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$4.90
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
ASX-KAR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$1.73
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
ASX-WDS
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$32.20
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
ASX-DRR
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$4.85
Aug 21, 2026
Stock
ASX-FMG
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$18.70
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
ASX-AEL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$2.90
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
ASX-BHP
Action
Downgraded: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$55.30
Aug 9, 2026
Stock
ASX-BPT
Action
Reiterated: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$0.82
Aug 3, 2026
Stock
ASX-BTL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.77
Jul 30, 2026
Stock
ASX-RIO
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$159.00
Jul 29, 2026
Stock
ASX-KAR
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$1.75

Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.

See the latest ratings in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring, Adrian Prendergast ranks among the top 50 energy analysts in Exent’s ranking, based on a 7-year backtest of price-target hit rate, returns after calls and number of ratings. The exact rank, hit rate and live calls are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Adrian Prendergast’s price-target hit rate is part of the members-only record in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). For comparison, the average analyst’s price targets were reached 52.4% of the time.

Adrian Prendergast (Morgans) covers 19 stocks, mostly in energy. The most frequently rated are ASX-RIO, ASX-BHP, ASX-AEL, ASX-WDS, ASX-STO.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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