A dated research snapshot, reviewed Oct 23, 2026: the price against its high, past falls, the business, analyst ratings, and how much Nvidia you may already own through index funds. Each figure carries its own date.
Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →
The answer depends on what you already own, how long you can wait and how deep a fall you can sit through, so this page gives no verdict. It lays out the dated facts investors check before they buy or sell. This is a dated research snapshot reviewed Oct 23, 2026, not a live quote page; each figure carries its own date.
| What investors check | Nvidia (NVDA) | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Closing price | $212.21 (−4.40% that day) | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Distance from record close | −11.3% from $239.24 (Oct 6, 2026) | Oct 22, 2026 |
| 52-week closing low | $165.17 (Mar 30, 2026) | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Price change in 2026 | +13.8% | Jan 1 to Oct 22, 2026 |
| Historical beta vs SPY (60 monthly returns) | 2.21 | Months to Sep 30, 2026 |
| Analyst ratings (delayed sample) | 47 Buy / 1 Hold / 1 Sell | Oct 22, 2026 export, newest 30 days left out |
| Weight in SPY / QQQ | 7.91% / 8.17% | Oct 20, 2026 |
Beta measures how strongly the stock reacted to the market’s moves in the past. A beta of 2.21 does not mean Nvidia moved twice as much every day, and it does not predict the next move. Past returns were large, as the table below shows; they are a record, not a forecast. Live figures are on the Nvidia data page.
| Period to Sep 30, 2026 | Nvidia total return | S&P 500 fund (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 year | +22.4% | +15.7% |
| 3 years | +425.4% | +85.0% |
| 5 years | +1004.4% | +90.0% |
| 10 years | +13575.4% | +312.9% |
The data shows a broad selloff in technology, not a Nvidia-only event. Nvidia closed 4.40% lower. Chip stocks fell with it, and the Technology Select Sector SPDR fund (XLK) dropped 3.29%.
Single-day causes are often clear only in hindsight, so this page does not guess at one. What the record does show is that days like this were common for Nvidia. In 2026 to Oct 22, it had 11 trading days with a fall of 4% or more and 63 days with a fall of 1% or more. Even after the drop, its market value of about $5.11 trillion stood roughly $32 billion above Apple’s.
Nobody can know. A big past run does not show that a stock is overpriced, or that it will keep rising. It does show that the path was rough. From May 26, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026, Nvidia had four falls of 30% or more, measured on daily adjusted closes from a previous peak to the lowest point before it regained that peak. They are history, not a limit on future losses.
| Fall | From peak | To trough |
|---|---|---|
| −55.9% | Oct 1, 2018 | Dec 24, 2018 |
| −37.5% | Feb 19, 2020 | Mar 16, 2020 |
| −66.3% | Nov 29, 2021 | Oct 14, 2022 |
| −36.9% | Jan 6, 2025 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Calendar years swung just as hard. Nvidia returned −50.3% in 2022 and +239.2% in 2023. These describe different periods; they do not show that holding through a future loss will bring a recovery.
| Year | Nvidia total return | S&P 500 fund (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | −30.8% | −4.6% |
| 2019 | +76.7% | +31.2% |
| 2020 | +122.7% | +18.3% |
| 2021 | +125.3% | +28.7% |
| 2022 | −50.3% | −18.2% |
| 2023 | +239.2% | +26.2% |
| 2024 | +171.3% | +24.9% |
| 2025 | +38.9% | +17.7% |
One caution about this data: Nvidia is a known past winner. Looking back at a stock that already won makes its falls look like buying chances. Many other chip and tech stocks fell just as far and never came back. Past results do not predict future ones. More on this in is it too late to buy a stock after a big run.
Analysts were almost all positive in the latest sample. Exent’s Oct 22, 2026 data export showed 47 Buy, 1 Hold and 1 Sell among 49 classified latest ratings, with records for 51 analysts, or about 96% Buy. The sample leaves out the newest 30 days of calls, so it does not describe today’s consensus.
That count has limits. Large, popular stocks tend to carry mostly Buy ratings, so a lopsided mix tells you little on its own. A price target that was reached is also not the same as a good return: a target can be hit after a long wait, or hit and then lost. The more useful question is how accurate each analyst has been in the past. That is the idea behind ranking analysts by track record; see analyst rankings.
The business is the other side. For the quarter ended Jul 26, 2026, Nvidia reported revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year earlier, a GAAP gross margin of 75.0% and Data Center revenue of $89.0 billion, up 117% (Nvidia’s Aug 26, 2026 results release). These figures document past growth; they do not establish a fair price for the stock.
Questions for the next report include whether growth holds, whether margins hold through product changes, and how much large tech companies keep spending on AI data centers; see big tech AI spending in 2026. This page does not estimate fair value or predict those outcomes.
Probably, if you own an index fund. On Oct 20, 2026, Nvidia made up 7.91% of SPY, an S&P 500 fund, and 8.17% of QQQ, a Nasdaq-100 fund. It was the largest single holding in both.
| Illustrative portfolio | Amount | Nvidia inside it |
|---|---|---|
| Total portfolio | $600,000 | |
| 60% in SPY, an S&P 500 fund | $360,000 | $28,476 (7.91%) |
| Plus a 5% direct Nvidia position | $30,000 | $30,000 |
| Total Nvidia exposure | $58,476 (9.7% of the portfolio) |
Illustrative, using SPY’s Oct 20, 2026 weight. In this example, a 5% position bought “for some Nvidia” slightly more than doubles an exposure the investor already had. Nvidia also tends to move with other large tech and chip stocks, so a portfolio full of them carries more of the same bet. The limits investors use are in how much of your portfolio should be in one stock.
Check your own position and calendar before the stock. These are the questions investors commonly work through. The general method is in how to pick stocks to buy now.
Sources for the dates: the Federal Reserve meeting calendar, Microsoft Investor Relations and Nvidia’s Oct 29, 2025 notice of last year’s call. Selling raises its own questions, such as taxes on the gain. Data on other large AI stocks is in best AI stocks to buy now.
Nvidia closed at $212.21 on Oct 22, 2026, down 4.40% that day and 11.3% below its Oct 6 record close. The drop alone does not make it a buy; it fell 30% or more four times between 2016 and 2026, and the right answer depends on what you already own.
Nobody can know. A big past run does not prove a stock is overpriced or that it will keep rising. Nvidia’s history shows large gains and falls of up to 66%, and past results do not predict future ones.
On Oct 22, 2026 Nvidia fell 4.40% as technology stocks sold off broadly; the XLK tech fund dropped 3.29%. Nvidia had 11 days of 4% or worse falls in 2026 to that date.
That depends on your position size, tax situation and time horizon, which no page can see. Investors often start by adding up their total Nvidia exposure, including what index funds already hold.
This page does not publish a consensus target, because the data behind it has no target dates or contributor counts, and an undated target cannot support an upside figure. In the Oct 22, 2026 export, 47 of 49 classified latest ratings were Buy. Targets are opinions, not promised returns.
As of Oct 23, 2026 we had not found an officially announced date for Nvidia’s third-quarter fiscal 2027 results. Last year the third-quarter call was on Nov 19, which does not set this year’s date.
Nvidia was 7.91% of SPY and 8.17% of QQQ as of Oct 20, 2026. Illustrative, at SPY’s weight: $360,000 in SPY held about $28,476 of Nvidia.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.