AnalystsInsight

Michael Dahl (RBC Capital): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

Michael Dahl is one of the top‑ranked analysts in Exent’s 7‑year backtest. What Michael covers, how Michael’s ratings lean, how fast price targets were reached and the ratings from before the last 30 days; the full record and the newest calls are members‑only.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 18, 20262 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+2 new ratings (stocks members‑only)

Key takeaways

Michael Dahl ranks among the top 50 consumer discretionary analysts in Exent’s ranking, scored on a 7‑year backtest.
The exact rank, price‑target hit rate and live calls are members‑only in Exent Gems.
Most‑covered stocks: MAS, QXO, OC, WHR.
In the past year Michael’s ratings were 50% Buy, 31% Hold and 19% Sell.

In this article

Michael Dahl’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Michael Dahl covers most
Michael Dahl’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Michael Dahl’s track record at a glance

Michael Dahl of RBC Capital ranks among the top 50 consumer discretionary analysts in Exent’s ranking, with a focus on consumer discretionary. The top of the ranking is what Exent Gems follows, so Michael’s exact rank, hit rate and live calls are for members.

Metric	Michael Dahl	All analysts
Exent rank		—
Price‑target hit rate		52.4%
Calls up after 12 months		64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls		+13.4%
Median days to hit target		91 days
Stocks covered	24	—

Unlock the full record in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Michael Dahl
Under 30 days	35.5%
30–90 days	31.9%
90–180 days	15.6%
Over 180 days	17.0%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Michael Dahl covers most

MAS · QXO · OC · WHR · BLDR · TOL · FBIN · CNM

In the past year Michael’s ratings were 50% Buy, 31% Hold and 19% Sell.

Michael Dahl’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 18, 2026	LEN	Maintained: Sell	Sell	$69.00
Sep 17, 2026	LEN	Reiterated: Sell	Sell	$69.00
Sep 10, 2026	CNM	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$60.00
Sep 9, 2026	CNM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$60.00
Aug 20, 2026	TOL	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$158.00
Aug 19, 2026	TOL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$158.00
Aug 14, 2026	QXO	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$27.00
Aug 13, 2026	QXO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$27.00
Aug 10, 2026	FERG	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$290.00
Aug 10, 2026	FERG	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$290.00
Aug 7, 2026	IBP	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$228.00
Aug 7, 2026	IBP	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$228.00

Sep 18, 2026
Stock
LEN
Action
Maintained: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$69.00
Sep 17, 2026
Stock
LEN
Action
Reiterated: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$69.00
Sep 10, 2026
Stock
CNM
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$60.00
Sep 9, 2026
Stock
CNM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$60.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
TOL
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$158.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
TOL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$158.00
Aug 14, 2026
Stock
QXO
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$27.00
Aug 13, 2026
Stock
QXO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$27.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
FERG
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$290.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
FERG
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$290.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
IBP
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$228.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
IBP
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$228.00

Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.

See the latest ratings in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Michael Dahl’s full record and latest ratings, without the 30‑day delay.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring, Michael Dahl ranks among the top 50 consumer discretionary analysts in Exent’s ranking, based on a 7-year backtest of price-target hit rate, returns after calls and number of ratings. The exact rank, hit rate and live calls are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Michael Dahl’s price-target hit rate is part of the members-only record in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). For comparison, the average analyst’s price targets were reached 52.4% of the time.

Michael Dahl (RBC Capital) covers 24 stocks, mostly in consumer discretionary. The most frequently rated are MAS, QXO, OC, WHR, BLDR.

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What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

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What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained