# Sebastien Naji (William Blair): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

> How often Sebastien Naji’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 306 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Source: https://www.exent.ai/analysts/sebastien-naji · Reviewed by David, Senior Analyst, Exent · Published Oct 24, 2026 · Updated Nov 8, 2026

**What changed since Nov 2, 2026:** rank #717 → #1604 · 1 new rating (LSCC) · 1 stock newly covered · rating 4.7★ → 4.2★

## Key takeaways

- Sebastien Naji ranks #1136 of 1,181 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.2★).
- 53.9% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
- Median time to reach a target: 49 days; 88.7% of calls were up 12 months later.
- Most‑covered stocks: NVDA, MRVL, ORCL, ANET.
- Free on Exent: Sebastien Naji’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

## Sebastien Naji’s track record at a glance

Sebastien Naji of [William Blair](https://www.exent.ai/firms/william-blair) ranks **#1136** of the 1,181 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.2★ rating and a focus on [technology](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/sectors/technology). Over a 7‑year lookback, **53.9%** of Sebastien’s price targets were reached, 0.8 points above the 53.1% average across all analysts.

| Metric | Sebastien Naji | All analysts |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Price‑target hit rate | 53.9% | 53.1% |
| Median days to hit target | 49 days | 93 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 88.7% | 64.4% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +41.3% | +13.5% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 53.9% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −17.8% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 306 | — |
| Stocks covered | 18 | — |

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in [Exent Gems](https://www.exent.ai/radar).

## How fast price targets were reached

| Time to reach the target | Sebastien Naji |
| --- | --- |
| Under 30 days | 28.6% |
| 30–90 days | 71.4% |
| 90–180 days | 0.0% |
| Over 180 days | 0.0% |

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

## Stocks Sebastien Naji covers most

| Stock | Ratings in the sample |
| --- | --- |
| [NVDA](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/nvda) | 46 |
| [MRVL](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/mrvl) | 28 |
| [ORCL](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/orcl) | 26 |
| [ANET](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/anet) | 25 |
| [ARM](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/arm) | 24 |
| [AVGO](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/avgo) | 22 |
| [CSCO](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/csco) | 21 |
| CRDO | 20 |

In the past year Sebastien’s ratings were 85% Buy, 15% Hold and 0% Sell.

## Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 983,543 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.3% of the 965 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 9, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

[Unlock the top 50 analysts](https://www.exent.ai/radar)

## Sebastien Naji’s latest ratings

| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Oct 6, 2026 | [LSCC](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/lscc) | Initiated: Buy | Buy | — |
| Oct 1, 2026 | [MU](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/mu) | Maintained: Buy | Buy | — |
| Sep 29, 2026 | [AMD](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/amd) | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | — |
| Sep 28, 2026 | [NVDA](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/nvda) | Maintained: Buy | Buy | — |
| Sep 24, 2026 | [ORCL](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/orcl) | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | — |
| Sep 11, 2026 | [ORCL](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/orcl) | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | — |
| Sep 8, 2026 | SIMO | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | — |
| Sep 4, 2026 | [NVDA](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/nvda) | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | — |
| Sep 3, 2026 | [AVGO](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/avgo) | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | — |

Sebastien’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. [Exent Gems](https://www.exent.ai/radar) has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

## More analysts to compare

Also at [William Blair](https://www.exent.ai/firms/william-blair): [Ross Sparenblek](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/ross-sparenblek) · [Steven Lichtman](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/steven-lichtman) · [Andrew Jeffrey](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/andrew-jeffrey) · [Jed Dorsheimer](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/jed-dorsheimer)

Also covering [technology](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/sectors/technology): [Philip Shen](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/philip-shen) · [Matthew Martino](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/matthew-martino) · [Gregory P Miller](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/gregory-p-miller) · [Guy Hardwick](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/guy-hardwick) · [Raimo Lenschow](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/raimo-lenschow) · [David Paige](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/david-paige)

## How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 9, 2026; ranking updated Nov 11, 2026. [How accurate are analyst price targets overall?](https://www.exent.ai/resources/are-analyst-price-targets-accurate)

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

## Follow the analysts with the best records

1. Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

Exent is our product: [Exent Gems](https://www.exent.ai/radar)

## Frequently asked questions

### Is Sebastien Naji a good analyst?

By Exent’s scoring Sebastien Naji ranks #1136 of 1,181 with a 4.2★ rating. 53.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 88.7% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

### What is Sebastien Naji’s success rate?

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 53.9% of Sebastien Naji’s price targets were reached, with a median of 49 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

### Which stocks does Sebastien Naji cover?

Sebastien Naji (William Blair) covers 18 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are NVDA, MRVL, ORCL, ANET, ARM.

---

Educational content, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
