# Peter Heckmann (D.A. Davidson): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

> How often Peter Heckmann’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,937 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Source: https://www.exent.ai/analysts/peter-heckmann · Reviewed by David, Senior Analyst, Exent · Published Oct 26, 2026 · Updated Nov 10, 2026

**What changed since Nov 2, 2026:** rank #916 → #677 · 3 new ratings (JKHY, TOST) · rating 4.6★ → 4.8★

## Key takeaways

- Peter Heckmann ranks #676 of 1,181 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.8★).
- 39.8% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
- Median time to reach a target: 148 days; 50.9% of calls were up 12 months later.
- Most‑covered stocks: TYL, ALIT, PMTS, DFIN.
- Free on Exent: Peter Heckmann’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

## Peter Heckmann’s track record at a glance

Peter Heckmann of [D.A. Davidson](https://www.exent.ai/firms/d-a-davidson) ranks **#676** of the 1,181 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.8★ rating and a focus on [technology](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/sectors/technology). Over a 7‑year lookback, **39.8%** of Peter’s price targets were reached, 13.3 points below the 53.1% average across all analysts.

| Metric | Peter Heckmann | All analysts |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Price‑target hit rate | 39.8% | 53.1% |
| Median days to hit target | 148 days | 93 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 50.9% | 64.4% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +1.1% | +13.5% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 28.3% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −24.7% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 1,937 | — |
| Stocks covered | 22 | — |

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in [Exent Gems](https://www.exent.ai/radar).

## How fast price targets were reached

| Time to reach the target | Peter Heckmann |
| --- | --- |
| Under 30 days | 15.4% |
| 30–90 days | 20.0% |
| 90–180 days | 24.5% |
| Over 180 days | 40.1% |

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

## Stocks Peter Heckmann covers most

| Stock | Ratings in the sample |
| --- | --- |
| [TYL](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/tyl) | 31 |
| ALIT | 30 |
| PMTS | 28 |
| DFIN | 27 |
| FOUR | 25 |
| JKHY | 23 |
| [TOST](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/tost) | 23 |
| QTWO | 23 |

In the past year Peter’s ratings were 89% Buy, 11% Hold and 0% Sell.

## Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 983,543 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.3% of the 965 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 9, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

[Unlock the top 50 analysts](https://www.exent.ai/radar)

## Peter Heckmann’s latest ratings

| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Nov 6, 2026 | JKHY | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $212.00 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | [TOST](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/tost) | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $38.00 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | DFIN | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $76.00 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | [SSNC](https://www.exent.ai/stocks/ssnc) | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $104.00 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | FOUR | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $68.00 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | ALIT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $22.00 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | ALIT | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $22.00 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | GWRE | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $222.00 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | PAYS | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $15.00 |

Peter’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. [Exent Gems](https://www.exent.ai/radar) has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

## More analysts to compare

Also at [D.A. Davidson](https://www.exent.ai/firms/d-a-davidson): [Rudy Kessinger](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/rudy-kessinger) · [Matt Summerville](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/matt-summerville) · [Chris Dankert](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/chris-dankert) · [Michael Baker](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/michael-baker) · [Gil Luria](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/gil-luria) · [Alex Platt](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/alex-platt)

Also covering [technology](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/sectors/technology): [Vivek Arya](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/vivek-arya) · [Jed Dorsheimer](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/jed-dorsheimer) · [Joseph Quatrochi](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/joseph-quatrochi) · [Melissa Weathers](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/melissa-weathers) · [Darrin Peller](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/darrin-peller) · [Joseph Vruwink](https://www.exent.ai/analysts/joseph-vruwink)

## How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 9, 2026; ranking updated Nov 11, 2026. [How accurate are analyst price targets overall?](https://www.exent.ai/resources/are-analyst-price-targets-accurate)

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

## Follow the analysts with the best records

1. Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

Exent is our product: [Exent Gems](https://www.exent.ai/radar)

## Frequently asked questions

### Is Peter Heckmann a good analyst?

By Exent’s scoring Peter Heckmann ranks #676 of 1,181 with a 4.8★ rating. 39.8% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 50.9% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

### What is Peter Heckmann’s success rate?

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 39.8% of Peter Heckmann’s price targets were reached, with a median of 148 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

### Which stocks does Peter Heckmann cover?

Peter Heckmann (D.A. Davidson) covers 22 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are TYL, ALIT, PMTS, DFIN, FOUR.

---

Educational content, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.